Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2015/iii/paper-37/1/a/ii/solution

No weakly stationary process solves the model with nondegenerate noise. Iteration would give
For a weakly stationary process with finite variance , the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality instead gives . These two bounds contradict each other for large . This argument does not assume that is independent of the intervening noise, so it excludes noncausal solutions too. The corresponding unit-root autoregressive process has persistent random walk behavior rather than stationary fluctuations.

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