Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-211/5/c/solution

Use the random walk interpretation and optimal stopping value function recursion specified in part (b). If is convex, translating and integrating its convexity inequality gives, for ,
Thus the transition operator preserves convex functions. Also the pointwise maximum of convex functions is convex: each of two convex functions at an intermediate point is bounded by the same convex combination of their pointwise maximum at the endpoints. Starting with , backward induction in
therefore proves the asserted convexity in the intended model:
The statewise integrability convention in part (b) gives finite convex functions on all real states. The same inequality holds for the canonical extended value function wherever the expectations are well-defined. Integrability only along one started process need not make that canonical function finite at unused states: for , , and increment density proportional to , , but for . This concerns the canonical recursion away from visited states, rather than the almost-sure identity for . Arbitrary off-state versions of need not be convex; the recursive version is the one meant here. No zero-mean assumption on the increments was used, and convexity alone does not make a submartingale for an arbitrary drift.

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