Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/iii/paper-316/4/vi/solution

Write for the comet's inverse semi-major axis. Its specific orbital energy is , so escape corresponds to . The printed quantity
has dimensions of inverse length. It cannot, literally, be a standard variance-per-time diffusion coefficient. Interpret it as the characteristic root mean square step in per periapsis passage, as in a discrete comet energy diffusion model.
If successive kicks are unbiased and uncorrelated, after passages the root mean square displacement is . Starting at gives , hence . Taking the characteristic interval to be the initial orbital period gives
Here . In particular, for this is . Without specifying the initial semi-major axis and the time per statistically independent encounter, the PDF cannot determine a unique time.
With the convention , the actual diffusion coefficient would be . The estimate requires , orbit crossing, and sufficient phase decorrelation. Near escape the orbital period grows, and resonant or secular correlations invalidate the simple constant-step clock. This is a characteristic diffusion scale, not an exact mean first-passage time: even an unbiased Brownian motion on an unbounded half-line has an infinite mean time to reach its absorbing endpoint.

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