Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2018/iii/paper-201/1/d/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 201 1 d Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Let be independent and identically distributed random variables with the fair Bernoulli distribution, and putRelative to , this fair-coin doubling martingale satisfies : while alive it doubles with probability and becomes zero otherwise. Its expected value is .
The probability of an infinite run of ones is , so is eventually zero almost surely. However,Thus the martingale lacks convergence in L1 to its limit from almost sure convergence. Nor can it have convergence in L1 to any other limit: convergence in L1 implies convergence in probability, whose limit is unique up to almost sure equality.
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