Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2018/iii/paper-201/1/d/solution

Let be independent and identically distributed random variables with the fair Bernoulli distribution, and put
Relative to , this fair-coin doubling martingale satisfies : while alive it doubles with probability and becomes zero otherwise. Its expected value is .
The probability of an infinite run of ones is , so is eventually zero almost surely. However,
Thus the martingale lacks convergence in L1 to its limit from almost sure convergence. Nor can it have convergence in L1 to any other limit: convergence in L1 implies convergence in probability, whose limit is unique up to almost sure equality.

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