Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2022/iii/paper-218/6/e/solution

The reported 95% credible interval for is
Conditional on the model, prior, and observed data, its posterior probability is 0.95. A frequentist 95% confidence interval instead has 95% coverage under repeated sampling before the data are observed; it does not assign a sampling probability to the fixed parameter after observing this dataset.

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