Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-year-1-of-the-natural-sciences-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/paper-1/18/c/solution

The three preceding probabilities satisfy
Their expected value and second moment are
Subtracting the squared mean gives
The value also follows from linearity of expectation. The variance includes the finite-population reduction caused by sampling without replacement.

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