Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-year-1-of-the-natural-sciences-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2015/paper-1/16/b/solution

Distinguish the balls by labels. For a fixed position , each label appears there in exactly of the equally likely permutations. Since labels are black,
This is the same marginal law at every position, even the last one. The argument averages over earlier draw outcomes; it does not assert that a conditional probability after a specified history remains . The original PDF uses , correcting the transcription's uppercase subscript .

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