Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2004/o/o5/d/solution
Past exam of the options II course of the University of Oxford 2004 O O5 d Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Put . Independence and the exponential sampling model give the gamma distribution with densityFor , substitution yieldsAt , , this gives . Thereforeis an unbiased estimator of the rate. For , the same formula with givesFor the source-allowed value , the first moment is still finite, but the second moment contains an integral proportional to and diverges. Hence the estimator has infinite variance when ; the finite formula applies only to .
The sample score is , and its Fisher information is . The Cramér-Rao lower bound for unbiased rate estimation is thus . For every , the actual variance is strictly larger by the factor . The ratio approaches one as grows, but equality is not attained at finite . At the finite-variance form of the bound is inapplicable to this estimator; its infinite variance provides no efficiency equality.
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