Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2011/m/m5/b/ii/solution
Past exam of the options II course of the University of Oxford 2011 M M5 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Let and defineThe probabilities sum to . For , the incoming probability isusing a telescoping sum. Similarly,Thus is a stationary distribution. Every state can reach in one step, and can reach every lower positive state in one step, so the chain is irreducible. The self-loop at has probability , hence the chain is aperiodic. The convergence theorem for a finite irreducible aperiodic Markov chain now givesFor , the conclusion follows directly from the single absorbing/refilled state.
This is the limiting law of the uniform depletion and refill Markov chain.
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