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ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2023/3/a/iii/solution
Past exam of the probability course of the University of Oxford 2023 3 a iii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
For the countable-state Markov chain ergodic theorem, let the Markov chain be irreducible and positive recurrent, with its unique stationary distribution . From any initial state, for every real satisfying ,In particular, almost surely. This time-average conclusion requires no aperiodicity.
The countable-state Markov chain convergence theorem adds the hypothesis of an aperiodic Markov chain and concludesIt also follows that for every initial probability distribution . For an irreducible recurrent chain, the occupation-frequency theorem can also be stated as a limit , interpreted as zero for a null recurrent state; in the positive recurrent case this equals .
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