Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-i-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2007/o/3/solution

Minimizing the squared residual norm gives the normal equations
Full column rank makes invertible. With columns corresponding to , the design matrix is
Symmetry gives zero cross products between the odd column and either even column, and gives the remaining orthogonality. Their squared norms are seven, 28 and 84, so . Therefore
Since the error covariance is , least squares has covariance . Thus
The estimators have zero covariances. independence would require an additional distributional assumption such as Gaussian errors; the stated mean and variance assumptions alone give only the covariance calculation.

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