Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-i-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2011/o/3/d/solution

Let be the cumulative distribution function of the Student t-distribution. The two-sided p-value is . If it is less than , strict monotonicity gives , hence
The magnitude of the interval's centre is larger than its half-width, so zero lies outside the confidence interval. This is the duality between confidence intervals and hypothesis tests.

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