Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2007/m/5/b/solution

The state-zero stationary distribution equation is , so . The state-one equation is , giving . More generally, the stationary probability flow across the cut is balanced, so . This also follows inductively from .
Hence . Since , the geometric series is summable, and normalization gives
These probabilities satisfy detailed balance and therefore all the stationarity equations. The Markov chain is an irreducible Markov chain, so this normalized stationary distribution is unique.

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