Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-simulation-and-statistical-programming-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/1/d/iii/solution
Past exam of the simulation and statistical programming course of the University of Oxford 2021 1 d iii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
The integrand is positive, so the minimum-variance importance distribution is its target-weighted probability density function, normalized by :By completing the square,Thus is the multivariate normal distribution , where is the first standard basis vector. Its importance weight and weighted integrand areA variance cannot be negative, and this proposal makes every summand constant, proving optimality directly. It is admissible under the arbitrary-proposal condition even though its mean vector is not zero. Although optimal proposals usually involve an unknown normalizing integral, here both that integral and the resulting normal distribution are explicit.
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