Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-statistics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/3/a/i/solution
Past exam of the statistics course of the University of Oxford 2021 3 a i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Set and . Conditional independence of the binomial distribution observations gives the likelihood functionThe prior distribution is the beta distribution with parameters . By Bayes' theorem, multiplying the prior density by the likelihood function gives a posterior density proportional toRecognizing and normalizing this beta distribution givesfor . This is Beta-binomial conjugacy; the original binomial coefficients cancel in the normalization because they are independent of .
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