Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-statistics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2023/1/a/solution
Past exam of the statistics course of the University of Oxford 2023 1 a Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Sort the observations into order statistics . Choose plotting positions and calculate the standard normal quantiles . The normal Q-Q plot consists of the pairs .
If the normal distribution model is appropriate, the points should lie approximately on a straight line with positive slope, because its population quantile function isThe intercept is approximately and the slope approximately ; neither needs to be known in advance. The reference need not be the identity line. One justification is the probability integral transform: for an independent normal statistical sample, are uniform order statistics, whose typical values are near their plotting positions. The equality is approximate for a finite sample, particularly at the extremes. Systematic curvature, unusually heavy tails, or isolated extreme departures argue against the proposed distributional shape. A straight marginal Q-Q plot does not itself establish independence of observations.
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