Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-year-1-of-the-computer-science-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2015/discrete-mathematics-continuous-mathematics-and-probability/7/b/i/solution
Past exam of the year 1 of the computer science course of the University of Oxford 2015 Discrete mathematics, continuous mathematics, and probability 7 b i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Let be the absorption time. Its expectation is finite: from every interior state, a string of at most successive left moves reaches , and the probability of such a string is at least . Hence the Markov property gives , a geometric tail bound, and .
For , one step is always spent before absorption or the remaining walk. Apply first-step analysis and the law of total expectation to the three possible first moves. The conditional expectations of the remaining absorption time are , respectively; independence of future moves gives the same law as a fresh random walk from the new position. Thuswhich rearranges toThe term also appears when the walk stays at , because staying still consumes a step.
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