OK, can someone please just stop the philosophy and give numerical predictions of how entropy helps you predict the future?
The original notion of entropy, and the first one you should study, is the Clausius entropy.
Video 1.
The Unexpected Side of Entropy by Daan Frenkel
. Source. 2021.
Video 2.
The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | 20. Entropy and Information by Sean Carroll (2020)
Source. In usual Sean Carroll fashion, it glosses over the subject. This one might be worth watching. It mentions 4 possible definitions of entropy: Boltzmann, Gibbs, Shannon (information theory) and John von Neumann (quantum mechanics).
Subtle is the Lord by Abraham Pais (1982) chapter 4 "Entropy and Probability" mentions well how Boltzmann first thought that the second law was an actual base physical law of the universe while he was calculating numerical stuff for it, including as late as 1872.
But then he saw an argument by Johann Joseph Loschmidt that given the time reversibility of classical mechanics, and because they were thinking of atoms as classical balls as in the kinetic theory of gases, then there always exist a valid physical state where entropy decreases, by just reversing the direction of time and all particle speeds.
So from this he understood that the second law can only be probabilistic, and not a fundamental law of physics, which he published clearly in 1877.
Considering e.g. Newton's laws of motion, you take a system that is a function of time , e.g. the position of many point particles, and then you reverse the speeds of all particles, then is a solution to that.
I guess you also have to change the sign of the gravitational constant?

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Entropy by Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Entropy is an extensive quantity and a state function of an equilibrium system, measured in . Differences between equilibrium states are calculated along a reversible thermodynamic process:
Here heat entering the system is positive and is its absolute thermodynamic temperature. The reversible path used for calculation need not be the path actually taken. Dividing the actual heat by a single temperature generally fails for an irreversible process.
For example, put two rigid bodies, each with constant heat capacity , at and in an otherwise isolated system. Assume each body has a uniform internal temperature, no phase transition occurs, and no work is extracted. Their final thermal equilibrium is at , because the internal energy lost by one equals that gained by the other. Using entropy from heat capacity,
so . One body's entropy decreases while the total increases. [ref]
Figure 1.
Thermal equilibration of two finite bodies conserves energy and increases total entropy
. Details.
In statistical mechanics, Boltzmann's entropy formula counts equally likely microstates compatible with a macrostate; Gibbs entropy handles a specified probability distribution over microstates. If the number of equally likely microstates doubles, entropy increases by . The logarithm makes multiplicative counts additive for independent systems. These are precise statements about states and probabilities, not a universal measure of visible messiness. Calling entropy merely "disorder" obscures the thermal calculation above and hides which microstates are being counted. [ref]
The usefulness of entropy is that measurable heat capacities determine its changes, and the Second law of thermodynamics turns those changes into constraints on processes. It also connects macroscopic measurements to microscopic descriptions without requiring us to track every particle.
Entropy is a concept that appears in various fields, such as thermodynamics, information theory, and statistical mechanics. Its meaning can vary slightly depending on the context, but generally, it refers to a measure of disorder, uncertainty, or randomness in a system. 1. **Thermodynamics**: In thermodynamics, entropy is a measure of the amount of energy in a physical system that is not available to do work. It is often associated with the degree of disorder or randomness in a system.