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 Incoming links: Affine shrinkage estimator for a binomial proportion

Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2001 / iii / Paper 29 / 4 / ii / Solution 2026-10-03
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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2021 / ib / Paper 4 / 17H / e / Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
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For
θ=wnX​+(1−w)θ0​,
(1)
the bias and variance are
Eθ​θ−θ=(1−w)(θ0​−θ),Varθ​(θ)=nw2​θ(1−θ).
(2)
The bias-variance decomposition of mean squared error yields
gw,θ0​​(θ)=nw2​θ(1−θ)+(1−w)2(θ−θ0​)2​.
(3)
This is the risk formula for an affine shrinkage estimator for a binomial proportion.
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