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Put $k=p+1$, $\mu =G{M}_{\star }$ and $n_{\mathrm{pl}}=\sqrt{\mu /a_{\mathrm{pl}}^3}$. To leading order the mean-motion resonance fixes $a=a_{\mathrm{pl}}{k}^{-2/3}$. The specific angular momentum isThe asteroid's instantaneous angular speed is $h/r^2$. Thus the high-eccentricity angular-speed crossover satisfies $h/r_x^2=n_{\mathrm{pl}}$, givingHere $q\ll r_x\ll a$, so a parabolic Kepler orbit gives the local motion accurately. Its polar equation is $r=2q/(1+\cos f)$. Write $f_x=\pi -{ϵ}_x$. Since $1+\cos f_x\simeq {ϵ}_x^2/2$,This is the outward crossing; the inward crossing has true anomaly $-f_x$ modulo $2\pi$.

For the pericentre-to-crossover flight time use $D=\tan (f/2)$. The parabolic Kepler orbit has $r=q(1+D^2)$ and $dt=r^{2}df/h$, whence direct integration gives the Barker equationAt the crossover $D_x\simeq \sqrt{r_x/q}\gg 1$. Consequently the planet's angular displacement isThe error tends to zero as $q/a_{\mathrm{pl}}\to 0$ at fixed $k$; it includes the finite binding energy of the elliptic Kepler orbit as well as the subleading term in the Barker equation.

At the $j$th pericentre passage the asteroid's unwrapped mean longitude is $\lambda =\varpi +2\pi j$. The resonant argument therefore givesThus $\varphi /k$ specifies the planet's direction relative to the asteroid's longitude of pericentre when the asteroid passes pericentre, with $k$ branches separated by $2\pi /k$. It is not the instantaneous true-longitude separation throughout the orbit. At high orbital eccentricity the asteroid quickly sweeps to a direction nearly opposite pericentre, while the planet scarcely moves. During the long outer excursion the asteroid's direction changes slowly and the planet advances substantially. This makes an astronomical conjunction during the outer excursion much more dangerous than an astronomical conjunction close to pericentre.

At the following apocentre, the planet has advanced $\pi /k$. The asteroid's direction in the rotating reference frame is consequentlyThese $k$ apocentre directions are equally spaced. Phase protection of interior integer resonances places the planet in the largest gap between them, rather than at an apocentre direction. For $k=2$, $\varphi =\pi$ puts an apocentre toward the planet, whereas $\varphi =0$ puts the apocentres at $\pm \pi /2$. For $k=3$, $\varphi =0$ puts an apocentre toward the planet, whereas $\varphi =\pi$ puts the apocentres at $\pi /3,\pi ,5\pi /3$. Hence the geometrically favored resonant-argument libration centres in this regime of high orbital eccentricity areThis is an encounter-avoidance argument for likely stability, not a calculation of a resonant Hamiltonian or a claim that every orbit near either centre is stable at arbitrary orbital eccentricity.

The following rotating-frame drawing uses $a_{\mathrm{pl}}=1$, $a=3^{-2/3}$, $q=0.002$ and $\varphi =\pi$. It follows three successive Kepler orbits, which fill one planet orbital period and close the pattern. The blue segment is just the first outward half-orbit. The marked crossover is a maximum of its rotating-frame polar angle, since $d\psi /dt=h/r^2-n_{\mathrm{pl}}$ changes from positive to negative there. The planet stays at $(1,0)$; the three apocentres avoid that direction.

To estimate angular-momentum kicks to nearly radial orbits, note that $q\simeq h^2/(2\mu )$, so an order-one fractional change in $q$ requires $|\Delta h|$ of order $h$. A characteristic distant encounter at radii of order $a_{\mathrm{pl}}$ has tangential acceleration of order $G{M}_{\mathrm{pl}}/a_{\mathrm{pl}}^2$ and duration of order $n_{\mathrm{pl}}^{-1}$. Its torque per unit asteroid mass therefore producesWith the most favorable coherent signs, the crude encounter count isOrder-one factors depend on $p$ and encounter geometry. Uncorrelated signs instead give a random walk count of order $(M_{\star }/M_{\mathrm{pl}}{)}^{2}q/a_{\mathrm{pl}}$ when this is large. A librating phase-protected orbit can suppress the kicks even further.

There is an important limit to calling this a minimum. The question does not specify an encounter impact parameter. For a weak close encounter with impact parameter $b$ and relative speed $u\sim \sqrt{G{M}_{\star }/a_{\mathrm{pl}}}$, the impulse estimate gives $|\delta h|\sim G{M}_{\mathrm{pl}}{a}_{\mathrm{pl}}/(bu)$ and hence $N\sim (M_{\star }/M_{\mathrm{pl}})(b/a_{\mathrm{pl}})\sqrt{q/a_{\mathrm{pl}}}$, capped below by one. In the 2:1 case the Kepler orbit can cross the planet's orbit, so one suitably close encounter can suffice: there is no impact-parameter-independent large lower bound. For $k\ge 3$, $Q\simeq 2a_{\mathrm{pl}}{k}^{-2/3}<a_{\mathrm{pl}}$ bounds the separation below by $a_{\mathrm{pl}}-Q$, and supplies a geometric factor at fixed $k$. The boxed count is the usual orbital-scale, maximally coherent estimate; the assumptions are essential.