For , use . Under regular regression assumptions, the delta method gives standard error , where and estimates the covariance of the regression estimate. Resample the observational units, refit, and compute both and . A percentile bootstrap confidence interval uses the .025 and .975 quantiles of . A bootstrap-t confidence interval uses quantiles of and reverses them when solving for . If both true coefficients vanish, the first derivative is zero and the standard first-order justification is unavailable; product-specific nonregular inference is then needed.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 47 4 b ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For each bootstrap replicate form the studentized pivotLet be its empirical quantiles. The bootstrap-t confidence interval approximatesSolving both inequalities for reverses the quantile order, givingUsing the same fixed standard error in every bootstrap numerator would not implement this studentized procedure; each replicate needs its own .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 47 4 b Solution 2026-10-14
The plug-in estimate isFor a concrete bootstrap construction, suppose the rows are independent and identically distributed, , the design moment matrix is nonsingular, and the required moments exist. Use a paired bootstrap: sample rows with replacement, form , refit by ordinary least squares, and compute . Repeat many times. Singular resampled designs require a suitable rank-preserving implementation or replacement replicate; with a regular continuous design their frequency vanishes asymptotically.
The bootstrap-t confidence interval method also needs a standard error in the original sample and every replicate. One asymptotically valid heteroscedasticity-robust covariance estimate isThe delta method for the coefficient product givesRecompute in each paired replicate. This is bootstrap inference for a product of regression coefficients.
With fixed rather than random design, resample centered residuals if errors are identically distributed with homoskedasticity, or use a properly specified wild bootstrap for heteroscedastic errors, keeping fixed and refitting after generating . The printed assumption alone does not establish independent observations or validity of a bootstrap confidence interval. The formulas below give asymptotic 95% coverage under the stated regularity conditions, not an exact finite-sample guarantee. In particular the ordinary first-order studentization needs and a nonzero asymptotic variance; when both coefficients vanish the product has nonstandard behavior.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 47 4 b ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For a bootstrap-t confidence interval, estimate the original standard error of , for example by the standard deviation of the outer paired bootstrap correlations. For each outer resample , estimate its own standard error by drawing many inner paired resamples from that outer sample and taking the standard deviation of their correlations. The resulting studentized statistics areLet be their empirical quantiles. Approximating the distribution of by that of and solving the two inequalities for givesThe reversal of quantiles is essential. The pivot requires positive standard errors and nondegenerate correlations; its claimed 95% coverage is an approximation under bootstrap regularity, not an exact finite-sample guarantee. One may intersect the final interval with the parameter space .
The same percentile and studentized procedures can be applied to the sample mean of , and then only the observations need be resampled. They are useful when a normal approximation is doubtful. However the mean already has the simple standard-error estimate here. For normal observations, the classical exact interval isand the same form is an asymptotic approximation for independent finite-variance observations under appropriate large-sample conditions. Thus bootstrap intervals are valid alternatives, but are often unnecessary for a mean with a reliable classical pivot; the correlation has no corresponding distribution-free elementary pivot. An infinite-variance distribution would require other theory rather than this ordinary standard-error argument.