Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 42 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use the usual stochastic-integrability assumptions implicit in the price stochastic differential equation: the coefficients have progressively measurable versions, the volatility is locally square integrable, and initial prices are finite deterministic positive numbers. A no-consumption admissible trading strategy consists of predictable risky share holdings for which the price stochastic integral exists and the portfolio wealth of the self-financing portfolio isThe remainder is held in the unit cash asset. Admissibility requires throughout the horizon for some deterministic finite ; the more restrictive nonnegative-wealth convention also works. A finite-horizon arbitrage is such a strategy with , almost surely and . The lower bound is essential to exclude doubling strategies.
Interpret the stated uniform ellipticity as for a deterministic . If , the market price of risk is bounded:The authoritative PDF puts both integrals inside the exponent. With that interpretation,On every finite horizon , boundedness of gives the Novikov condition:Hence the positive stochastic exponential is a true martingale with . Define the equivalent probability measure by . The Girsanov theorem says that is a Brownian motion under , up to time . Consequentlyso the prices are local martingales under .
Every admissible zero-initial-capital self-financing portfolio has portfolio wealth which is therefore a -local martingale bounded below by . The shifted process is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale by localization and the Conditional Fatou lemma. In particular . If the strategy were an arbitrage, nonnegativity of would force -almost surely. Equivalence of and would then force , a contradiction. The market has no admissible arbitrage on any finite horizon. This proves the exclusion argument itself, rather than just asserting the fundamental theorem of asset pricing.
For the deflated price calculation, let denote the column vector whose transpose is the th row of . The Itô product rule includes the quadratic covariation termSince , the full product equation isLocalization makes the last stochastic integral a true martingale on each stopped interval, proving each component of the deflated price vector is a local martingale under the original measure. This is the bounded-coefficient asset deflator identity; bounded volatility has not yet been used.
If is bounded, then is bounded as well. Solving the last linear stochastic differential equation givesThe Novikov condition now holds for this stochastic exponential on every finite horizon, because its bracket is bounded by a deterministic constant times the horizon. ThereforeThe entire deflated price vector is a true martingale when volatility is bounded. This finite-horizon argument does not assert uniform integrability as time tends to infinity, which is not required. Integrable random initial prices can also be handled by the conditional martingale argument; without any integrability assumption on initial prices, a true-martingale assertion would not be meaningful.