Bradley-Terry maximum-likelihood estimate on a path (${\hat{\theta }}_i={\prod }_{k=i}^{n-1}{p}_k/(1-p_k)$)

For observed neighbor win fractions $p_0,\dots ,p_{n-1}\in (0,1)$ on the path graph $0,1,\dots ,n$, the normalized Bradley-Terry model estimate with ${\hat{\theta }}_n=1$ is ${\hat{\theta }}_i={\prod }_{k=i}^{n-1}{p}_k/(1-p_k)$. This is backward propagation of empirical odds along the path. Every edge proportion is fitted exactly, and strict concavity in edge log-ratios proves that this is the unique global maximum.