The usual major carbon/oxygen reservoirs in a hydrogen-rich hot Jupiter are water, carbon monoxide and methane, with their relative importance set by thermochemical equilibrium. This is not a universal ranking for every temperature and composition: nitrogen molecules or carbon dioxide can exceed a strongly depleted member of this trio.
At about one bar, the useful net reaction is
The rightward reaction is exothermic. Cooler gas favors methane and water; warming favors carbon monoxide and suppresses methane. The CO/CH4 crossover is of order and shifts with pressure, elemental inventory and metallicity; it is not a universal temperature. Water remains an important oxygen reservoir for oxygen-rich compositions but can dissociate at sufficiently high temperature.
Increasing the atmospheric metallicity of a giant planet raises the available carbon and oxygen. In a dilute, H2-dominated regime, major CO and H2O abundances roughly increase with the enrichment factor, and cool-regime CH4 does likewise. CO2 can rise faster, approximately quadratically in suitable warm regimes. At very high enrichment, the H2 fraction and mean molecular weight also change, invalidating simple linear scalings.
At high temperature and atmospheric carbon-to-oxygen ratio below unity, CO binds much of the carbon, leaving excess oxygen for H2O. As C/O approaches or exceeds one, CO consumes nearly all available oxygen and H2O is strongly depleted; excess carbon enhances CH4, hydrogen cyanide and acetylene. Cooler CH4-dominated chemistry uses less oxygen in CO and can leave more water even at the same elemental ratio. These trends are carbon partition and atmospheric water abundance, and assume equilibrium rather than vertical or horizontal quenching.
The inferred dayside water mixing ratio is about times below the solar-equilibrium reference. Several explanations are possible. A high atmospheric carbon-to-oxygen ratio, especially near or above unity in hot carbon monoxide-dominated gas, locks much of the oxygen in CO and leaves little water. A genuinely oxygen-poor or low-metallicity envelope also reduces water, although bulk elemental abundances must apply to both hemispheres. Atmospheric photochemistry can destroy water at low pressures. In portions of the dayside that are substantially hotter than the stated minimum, thermal dissociation can also reduce water, especially at low pressure; alone does not establish strong dissociation throughout the emitting region. Temperature/opacity degeneracies or incomplete treatment of exoplanet clouds and horizontal structure in an atmospheric retrieval can bias the inferred abundance.
At the cooler terminator, is only a factor of five below the reference. Moderately reduced oxygen abundance, an enhanced C/O ratio, and exoplanet cloud/atmospheric haze dilution of spectral features are plausible explanations. Water is comparatively stable at , so strong thermal dissociation is not the natural explanation there. A exoplanet transmission spectrum samples a slant path through the limb, and the degeneracy among exoplanet cloud height, reference pressure and gas abundance can mimic a lower mixing ratio.
The two measurements need not describe the same pressure range or longitude. Local dissociation/photochemistry on the hotter dayside and reformation on the cooler limb can produce a real spatial difference. Even at one elemental C/O ratio, hot carbon monoxide-rich chemistry can leave less oxygen for water than cooler methane-rich chemistry, an example of carbon partition and atmospheric water abundance. Transport can modify or homogenize those tendencies, depending on the reaction and advection timescales. Alternatively, inconsistent assumptions in the emission and transmission retrievals can create an apparent discrepancy. A reconciliation should use one bulk elemental inventory, separate dayside/limb temperature profiles and contribution pressures, and consistent exoplanet cloud and transport physics; it should not assign independent planetary metallicities to the two hemispheres.