Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 41 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let and write for the Brownian terminal density. By the Brownian reflection principle, for the reflected paths that hit and end at have terminal density . HenceThe Girsanov theorem changes zero drift into drift using the finite-horizon density . The finite-horizon maximum of Brownian motion with drift therefore has distribution functionIn the first integral term, complete the square to get a normal density with mean . In the second, substitute and complete the square with mean ; the prefactor is . Here is the standard normal distribution function, and .
Let , with real. Survival means that stays below . Tilt by ; under the tilted probability, has drift . Applying the maximum formula with drift gives the exponential terminal moment below a linear Brownian boundaryThis holds for every real . The maximum distribution has no atom at the positive barrier, so strict or weak survival inequalities give the same probability here.
For the hitting-time moment, first use drift in the maximum formula and take the complementary probability:If and , their standard normal densities satisfy . Differentiating the two terms, with and , yields the drifted Brownian first-passage densityIts total mass need not be one, because the upward-sloping boundary may never be reached.
For , put . Multiplication by gives . Integrating to produces truncated discounted Brownian first passage, with negative discount rate allowed when the square root remains real:This includes the equality case , where it becomes . The expression integrates only finite hitting times up to ; no value is assigned to an exponential at an infinite hitting time.
For the cash-at-hit digital call, use the risk-neutral measure in the Black-Scholes model and denote expiry by . ThenHitting corresponds to , where and . The unit-cash payment is made at the hitting time, so risk-neutral valuation discounts at that time, not at expiry. Set andThe identity on the right verifies the square-root condition even for negative interest rates. The time-zero price isThis is in pounds for the unit-pound contract. It differs from a maturity-paid digital call option, whose discounting and exercise event are different.