For conditionally independent gamma distribution observations of known shape and unknown scale , an inverse-gamma distribution prior with shape and scale gives an inverse-gamma distribution posterior with shape and scale . The posterior mean of the conditional claim expected value is when the denominator is positive.
With the gamma scale inverse-gamma conjugacy model and prior shape , the Bühlmann model has . Its Bühlmann credibility premium equals , exactly the Bayes estimator under squared error loss of . Equality holds because the posterior mean is already affine in the observed sample mean.
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