Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 213 1 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
An open migration process is a continuous-time Markov chain recording the populations of finitely many colonies. Independent external Poisson processes bring individuals to colony at rate . When that colony contains individuals, a departure opportunity occurs at total rate , with . The departing individual moves to colony with probability , or leaves the system with probability . Routing choices and the clocks are independent. A return to the same colony does not change the state.
The word open means that the routing matrix is transient: every individual eventually leaves, or equivalently the spectral radius of is less than one. The traffic equations of an open migration process, with row-vector convention, give the total arrival rates:These rates include migrations as well as external arrivals. On the active colonies assume and the usual irreducible Markov chain condition. PutThe product form and its normalization condition areTo establish the product-form stationary distribution of an open migration process, first use its unnormalized weight . Its ratios satisfy . The incoming external arrivals into , divided by , contribute . Incoming exits contribute . Incoming migrations from to contribute . Terms involving an empty destination are zero. Thus the full incoming rate divided by isHere the traffic equations of an open migration process give the second equality, including . The right side is precisely the total outgoing rate. This proves global balance for a continuous-time Markov chain; pairwise detailed balance is not required for general routing.
For finite rates at each finite population, the continuous-time Markov chain is nonexplosive Markov chain: its total population is bounded over a finite time interval by the initial population plus the finitely many external arrivals, so it visits a finite set on which all jump rates are bounded. Consequently finite normalize the invariant weight to a stationary distribution. Under the stated irreducible Markov chain assumptions, this is the unique stationary distribution, and it is a positive recurrent Markov chain. Conversely, the unique invariant measure of an irreducible recurrent chain is proportional to , so a positive recurrent Markov chain requires its normalization to be finite. A sufficient condition is ; the series criterion itself is the exact condition. Colonies with have zero stationary population and can be removed from the active class.
For the single-server M-M-1 queue specialization, for , each stationary colony has the geometric distribution of an M-M-1 queue:The traffic equations of an open migration process do not involve the service rates, so the remain fixed during this service-capacity allocation in an open migration process. Write , and . A stationary allocation requires , with and . The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality givesEquality holds exactly when is proportional to . Hence, for positive arrival rates, the unique optimal service allocation and the minimum expected value of the total population areIf and some arrival rate is positive, no stable service allocation exists. Zero-arrival colonies need no service in their stationary empty class: allowing zero service there gives the same formula restricted to active colonies. If strictly positive service is demanded even at inactive colonies, the displayed minimum is an infimum approached as that unused allocation tends to zero. If all arrivals vanish, the stationary mean population is zero for every allocation that drains the initial population.
For an open migration process, colony with population has total departure rate . Its stationary weight is . The colony weights factor independently and normalize when for every colony. Global balance for a continuous-time Markov chain proves the formula even when routing is not reversible.