Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 225 1 b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Write for the rank-one operator . The estimator is the kernel representation of the empirical covariance operatorSince ,Thus the estimator has the fixed bias of an estimator for .
The fourth-moment assumption makes square-integrable in the Hilbert space of Hilbert-Schmidt operators. The weak law of large numbers therefore givesConsequently consistency for holds exactly when . More precisely, if , thenThe Hilbert-space central limit theorem also yieldswhere is a centered Gaussian random element in the Hilbert-Schmidt operator space with covariance determined by . Relative to , the same fluctuation is displaced by and hence does not have a finite centered limit when .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 225 2 a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Use the test statisticUnder the null hypothesis, the Hilbert-space central limit theorem gives , where is centered Gaussian with covariance . If , its Karhunen–Loève expansion and the continuous mapping theorem givefor independent . Reject for above the quantile of this weighted chi-squared law; replacing the by empirical covariance eigenvalues gives a plug-in estimator of the critical value.
Under every fixed alternative , the weak law of large numbers gives , so and the test is consistent. Under a local alternative , the limit is , which describes its local power.