The I-squared statistic of is a small estimate of excess variation on the heterogeneity scale. It does not mean that of studies are different, nor that this percentage of patients responds differently. The Cochran's Q statistic compares the observed variation with that expected from the studies' sampling errors; its approximate null distribution has five degrees of freedom here. A heterogeneity-test p-value of provides no rejection of the common-effect hypothesis.
The individual confidence intervals in the forest plot overlap substantially, although some point estimates are larger than others. Taken together, there is little evidence of between-study heterogeneity in these six studies. Neither the nonsignificant test nor the small I-squared statistic proves equal effects: with only six studies, detecting moderate heterogeneity can be difficult. A study being individually significant while another is not is also not itself a test of their difference.
Use for the inverse within-study variances, and . For Cochran's Q statistic, the DerSimonian–Laird estimator of the between-study variance is
Consequently the estimated heterogeneity variance and standard deviation are
These describe dispersion of underlying study log odds ratios, not ordinary sampling error of a single trial. The between-study heterogeneity is additional to the within-study variances.
The I-squared statistic is
It estimates the share of variation beyond that expected from sampling error in this collection of studies. Approximately half the variation is attributed to heterogeneity on that scale; this is neither the percentage of trials with different effects nor a percentage change in mortality. The PDF omits the symbol naming its heterogeneity estimate, so both and are reported explicitly.