Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ii Paper 3 6B Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
In the birth-death master equation, The upward jump has rate and the downward jump rate , so the first two jump moments per unit time are and . The second-order Kramers-Moyal expansion gives the diffusion approximation of a birth-death processFor the associated Fokker-Planck equation, integrating by parts with vanishing moment boundary terms gives . Taking yieldsFor example, if , then , while the variance satisfies . The two boxed moment equations also follow exactly from the discrete Markov jump-process generator, since quadratic functions have no higher jump terms. A reflecting diffusion confined to can have extra boundary contributions; the formal approximation near extinction is not an exact replacement for the discrete process.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ii Paper 3 6C b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Taylor-expand the gain terms:and, writing ,After cancellation of the loss terms, the second-order Kramers-Moyal expansion isHence the constant-birth pair-annihilation process has
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 14C Solution Created 2026-09-23 Updated 2026-10-03
This is a birth-death process with birth and death ratesIts transition diagram has the two arrowsThe gain into state comes from a death in state or a birth in state , while the loss is the sum of both rates out of state . The birth-death master equation is consequently
Multiplying by , summing over the nonnegative integers, and shifting the summation indices shows that each birth contributes and each death contributes . Thus the first-moment equation of a birth-death process givesAt a stationary state, use the variance identity . Solving the resulting quadratic equation givesThe minus root is inadmissible whenever it is negative, namely when . Equality would give zero mean, which is also incompatible with a positive immigration rate , so for the minus branch requires even to be a possible mean.
For a continuum approximation, write and . Applying the Kramers-Moyal expansion to the two gain terms and retaining derivatives through second order gives the Fokker-Planck equationwhere the negative drift and infinitesimal jump variance areThis truncation requires the typical population and the scale on which varies to be much larger than the unit jump size, with the rates varying smoothly across that scale.
The positive zero of isso in particular as . Put . The linear noise approximation useswhereand, because ,In a stationary state with zero Fokker-Planck probability current,Its normalized solution is the normal distributionIt follows that
These estimates agree with the exact stationary first-moment relation on its plus branch to leading order: inserting gives . Moreover,Thus the stationary mass lies far from the boundary , is narrow relative to its mean, yet changes across many lattice sites. These are precisely the large-population and slow-variation conditions needed for the diffusion approximation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 ii Paper 3 13E b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
When jumps are small relative to a large population and moments exist, the Kramers-Moyal expansion through second order givesThis Fokker-Planck equation is a conservation law with vanishing boundary flux; is the drift and the diffusivity. Equal constant rates for jumps give pure diffusion.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 ii Paper 3 13E e iii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The third Kramers-Moyal expansion coefficient is . At a first minimum the third derivative has no fixed sign, so the maximum-principle argument fails; finite truncations beyond second order need not preserve positivity.