For heat capacity per area , imposed basal flux , fixed top temperature, and marginal-stability thermal boundary-layer scaling, the well-mixed interior has . Its steady excess temperature is . The near-equilibrium relaxation time is , with . A full large-amplitude cooling history is nonlinear rather than a single exponential.
Vigorous convection keeps the interior nearly uniform, so the upper thermal boundary layer carries a temperature drop of order . A boundary layer becomes unstable when its local Rayleigh number reaches an order-fixed critical value :
This is marginal-stability thermal boundary-layer scaling using the Local Rayleigh-number closure: boundary-layer buoyancy overcomes viscous and thermal-diffusive stabilization. Equivalently, a buoyancy-driven velocity scale makes order . Thus
There is no in this closure, as required for a thin boundary layer controlled by its own stability. The exponent is fixed by scaling; its absolute coefficient is not. Here represents the geometry and boundary conditions, together with any order-one boundary-layer coefficient. The question supplies no numerical value for it. The assumption requires , positive , and properties sufficiently constant over the temperature contrast.