Normalize by a riskless bank account with , . For risky assets let be the vector of discounted gains, and let denote a discounted square-integrable contingent claim. An initial total capital and stock holding have discounted terminal portfolio wealth : the bank holding finances the initial purchase of the stocks. Thus the space of attainable claims is
It is finite-dimensional and hence closed. The market is complete market when every square-integrable claim is in this span; with finitely many assets this is also equivalent to replication of every bounded claim.
A dominated martingale measure is a probability measure with and , with the gains integrable under . Its Radon-Nikodym derivative satisfies , and . An equivalent martingale measure has almost surely. A signed martingale measure obeys the same normalization and pricing equations without requiring nonnegativity. The distinction matters for quadratic hedging. For the completeness assertion use the usual no-arbitrage hypothesis, expressed here by existence of an equivalent martingale measure .
The unrestricted one-period quadratic hedge minimizes
Put , and . Remove redundant gains so that is invertible. Differentiating in gives . The remaining squared error is
Therefore
The residual is orthogonal in to and every gain, making the fitted claim the orthogonal projection onto a finite-dimensional subspace onto . Its minimum mean-square error is , and it vanishes exactly when is attainable. If initial capital is fixed instead, the normal equation is
This separates hedging with prescribed capital from simultaneous optimization of capital and risky holdings.
The minimal martingale measure in a one-period market is characterized by leaving unchanged the expectation of every centered square-integrable orthogonal to the martingale part . For square-integrable pricing densities this forces into the span of : the orthogonal complement consists exactly of those . The pricing equation then determines
Indeed and . For every such orthogonal , . Conversely a normalized density preserving all these must have the displayed form, since its coefficients must satisfy . The least-squares initial capital is consequently .
For any other square-integrable signed pricing density , put . Both densities price and all gains, so is orthogonal to their span, including . Hence
Equality holds only when . Densities with infinite second moment cannot improve this finite minimum. This proves the requested minimum over dominated martingale measures whenever , and over all square-integrable signed martingale measures without that extra condition. If , it is also an equivalent martingale measure.
Absence of arbitrage alone does not guarantee that the minimal density is a probability density. For a concrete example, let a single discounted gain take values with probabilities . Then , and . Nevertheless pricing probabilities are strictly positive and give mean gain zero, so an equivalent martingale measure exists. This is negative minimal density in an arbitrage-free one-period market. If the term martingale measure is reserved for probabilities, the printed minimum assertion needs the extra nonnegativity hypothesis; otherwise it is the signed minimum-norm assertion just proved. Minimizing over the nonnegative pricing densities instead is a different constrained projection problem.
Finally, prove completeness and uniqueness of dominated martingale measures. If the market is complete market, every event indicator can be replicated. Under any dominated martingale measure, its expectation equals its initial discounted cost. Consequently any two such measures agree on every event and are equal; existence is supplied by .
Conversely suppose has dimension and is a proper subspace of the whole payoff space. Choose disjoint events of positive probability. Such events exist whenever has dimension greater than : otherwise the space has at most atoms and dimension at most . Let be a basis of . The vectors
are linearly dependent. Choose coefficients , not all zero, whose linear combination is zero, and set . It is bounded, not almost surely zero under , and satisfies for every , in particular for . For define
These densities are strictly positive, normalized, have zero gain means, and are different. Thus incompleteness contradicts uniqueness, proving
The existence hypothesis cannot be discarded: with three positive-probability states and gain , the sole dominated martingale probability concentrates on , yet the two-dimensional attainable space does not span all three states. That market permits arbitrage.