Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 ib Paper 1 3D Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Put , . The joint normal distribution density can be written asThe Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem says that, for a family dominated by a common measure, a statistic is a sufficient statistic when its densities have the form with independent of the parameter. The displayed factorization therefore shows that is a two-dimensional sufficient statistic.
For maximum likelihood estimation, discard parameter-independent terms from the log-likelihood:If , the quadratic equation has exactly one positive root. The numerator is positive before that root and negative after it, while the likelihood tends to zero at both ends of . Hence the normal likelihood with variance equal to squared mean gives the global maximizerThis holds almost surely. The exceptional all-zero sample has and likelihood proportional to , so its supremum is approached as and there is no positive maximizer.