Nuclear chain reaction ($N_{g+1}=k_{\mathrm{eff}}{N}_g$)

A nuclear chain reaction is a sequence in which particles released by one nuclear reaction induce further nuclear reactions. In a neutron-driven nuclear fission chain, emitted neutrons can cause new nuclear fission, be absorbed without causing nuclear fission, or leave the material.

In a simple generation model, let $N_g$ be the mean number of chain-carrying neutrons in generation $g$, and let $k_{\mathrm{eff}}$ be their effective reproduction ratio. Then $N_{g+1}=k_{\mathrm{eff}}{N}_g$. For $k_{\mathrm{eff}}<1$ the mean chain dies away; $k_{\mathrm{eff}}=1$ gives a steady mean population; and $k_{\mathrm{eff}}>1$ gives growth in this fixed-coefficient model. Thus a steady chain has reproduction ratio one, while a growing chain is also self-sustaining in the mean. This elementary generation model does not describe every timescale or spatial change.

Whether material is fissile material depends on reaction probabilities, neutron production and losses in a specified setting. A positive nuclear fission Q value establishes that the final products can release energy, but does not by itself establish the neutron balance.