For binary treatment and propensity score , the observed-unit overlap weights areEach unit receives the probability of assignment to the opposite group. These weights are bounded between zero and one.[ref]
The common target-population tilting function is instead . If the original covariate density is , then the unnormalized weighted densities in the two arms are equal:Thus describes the target population, while are the arm-specific observation weights. Multiplying every observed unit by would not give this balance identity.
Under conditional exchangeability, consistency in causal inference and nonzero total overlap, the weighted contrast identifies the overlap-weighted average treatment effectUnits with deterministic treatment assignment have and contribute nothing to this target. The estimand therefore generally differs from the full-population average treatment effect.
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