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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2001 / iii / Paper 21 / 4 / e

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 21 4
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e
False. For every deterministic t>0, Brownian scaling gives Bt​/t​∼N(0,1). In particular, for any ε>0,
P(∣Bt​∣/t​>ε)=2(1−Φ(ε))>0,
(1)
independently of t. Almost-sure convergence would imply convergence in probability, but these fixed positive tail probabilities rule out convergence in probability to zero. The square-root normalization retains fluctuations of order one.

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