Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2004 / iii / Paper 30 / 1 / b / Solution

Fix a sequence of deterministic partitions with mesh tending to zero and define the completed-increment sumsFor a continuous semimartingale, these sums converge to $[X{]}_t$ in uniform convergence on compacts in probability, the standard path-increment formula for quadratic variation. The sums use only the path of $X$, and do not mention a filtration. If the same process is a semimartingale for two filtrations, the same sums have both proposed quadratic variations as limits. Uniqueness of limits in probability, followed by continuity, makes these limits indistinguishable.

For the change of measure, let $R=d\mathbb{Q}/d\mathbb{P}$. If $\mathbb{P}(A_n)\to 0$, thentruncate $R$ at a large constant, use $\mathbb{E}[R{1}_{\{R>K\}}]\to 0$, and then let $\mathbb{P}(A_n)\to 0$. Apply this argument to the event ${\sup }_{s\le t}|S_s^{(n)}-[X{]}_s^{\mathbb{P}}|>\epsilon$. The same sums converge to the P-version of the bracket in Q-probability, and the Q-semimartingale formula makes them converge to the Q-version. ThereforeThis is quadratic variation under an absolutely continuous measure change. With only $\mathbb{Q}\ll \mathbb{P}$, the equality is asserted under Q: a Q-version is unconstrained on a Q-null set that might have positive P-probability.