Define neutral-hydrogen column density along a ray by , in atoms per unit area. The neutral-hydrogen column-density distribution per redshift is
so is the expected number of absorbers in those intervals along one sightline. A logarithmic column bin instead has distribution ; the bin convention must be specified.
Let be a constant comoving number density and a constant physical interception area. The corresponding physical number density is . Proper light-path length satisfies . The expected intersection count, or first-order probability in infinitesimal , is therefore
The Friedmann equation, the constant-equation-of-state density scaling for pressureless matter, and the present cosmological density parameters give
Combining them yields the absorber incidence and comoving number density relation
Here the constant cross-section is physical, as required for this result; a fixed comoving cross-section would instead decrease in physical area as . It is convenient to define absorption distance by and , so a population with these non-evolution assumptions has constant incidence per .

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