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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2015 / iii / Paper 35 / 6 / 2

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 iii Paper 35 6
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In the no-simultaneous-event infinitesimal representation, the event increment is binary, so dN+​(t)2=dN+​(t). Its second moment equals its first moment:
E[dN+​(t)2∣Ht−​]=Y+​(t)dH(t)+o(dt).​
(1)
This uses the assumed binary increment. In an ordinary finite interval more than one event is possible, and the equality would not hold exactly; the no-ties counting-process calculation concerns the first-order infinitesimal terms.

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