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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2019 / ib / Paper 1 / 20H / b

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ib Paper 1 20H
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b
Conditional on X0​=x, the random variable T is the first return time Tx+​. The Kac's lemma mean-recurrence formula for a finite irreducible Markov chain gives
Ex​Tx+​=π(x)1​.
(1)
Averaging over X0​∼π therefore yields
E[T]=x∑​π(x)π(x)1​=N​.
(2)

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