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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2022 / iii / Paper 211 / 4 / e

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 211 4
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e
The one-step predictable integrand θ is bounded by one. If M were a martingale, its transform ξ=θ⋅(MT​−MT−1​) would be an integrable mean-zero random variable. Parts b–d show instead that it is nonnegative almost surely and strictly positive with positive probability, so its expectation is positive. This contradiction proves that M cannot be a martingale.

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