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Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford / 2011 / S / S2 / b / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2011 S S2 b
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For the independent standard normals stipulated in this part, simulate n values and average the exceedance indicators:
z0​=n1​k=1∑n​1{Xk​>c}​.​
(1)
Each indicator is Bernoulli with probability zc​, so expectation and independence give
Ez0​=zc​,v0​=Var(z0​)=nzc​(1−zc​)​.​
(2)
Thus the Monte Carlo estimator is unbiased.

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