Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 29 6 iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For known parental haplotypes, count recombinant transmissions among informative meioses. The conditional pedigree likelihood has the formwhere contains parameter-independent gamete and genotype factors. Differentiating its logarithm gives , so the constrained maximum-likelihood estimate isWhen the maximum is at zero; if no meiosis is informative, the likelihood is constant and the parameter is not estimable from that family. This formula presumes the family phase has been resolved; otherwise use phase averaging in a linkage likelihood first.
The family-specific value cannot be calculated because its pedigree, phases and transmission counts are absent from the supplied PDF. The missing data cannot be reconstructed from the requested estimate alone.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 29 6 iv Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let index compatible parental phases in family 2, with fixed prior conditional weights . For a given phase, let be the recombinant count and the informative-transmission count, absorbing any fixed genotype factors into . The appropriate pedigree likelihood isThis is phase averaging in a linkage likelihood; maximizing over a phase after observing the offspring would not be the same likelihood. In the common special case of two equally likely phases that exchange recombinant and nonrecombinant labels across transmissions, it reduces, up to a constant, toThe constrained maximum-likelihood estimate compares all stationary points and endpoints on .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 40 5 ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Distinguish the disease alleles (normal) and (recessive disease) from the marker alleles . The affected mother and two affected children are . The unaffected father must be , since he has affected children; the unaffected child is , since the mother always transmits . The mother is at the marker, so the marker genotypes identify the father's transmissions to the three children as . Their disease transmissions from the father are .
The father's unphased double heterozygosity has two possible pairs of haplotypes:Under , the three paternal transmissions are respectively nonrecombinant, recombinant and nonrecombinant. Under , they are recombinant, nonrecombinant and recombinant. Each particular gamete has probability or , giving the conditional pedigree likelihoodsAssuming linkage equilibrium among founder haplotypes, the two phases have equal prior weights conditional on the observed paternal genotype. Phase averaging in a linkage likelihood therefore givesAny factors for the parental genotypes omitted by this conditioning are constant in . The derivative is , so the maximum likelihood estimate is and there is no evidence for linkage: the maximum LOD score is zero. Choosing the best phase after observing the offspring would give a different and inappropriate calculation; the unknown phase must be averaged. The linkage-equilibrium assumption is modified explicitly in part (v).