The parameter relations give and
For each fixed integer , take an -vertex set and let count triangles meeting . The event that every vertex of is counted by is exactly .
The number of such triangles is
Thus their total expected count is .
Distinct triangles have dependent containment events only when they share an edge. If that common edge meets , there are choices for it and choices for the two other vertices. If the common edge avoids , both other vertices must lie in , giving only pairs. Each pair needs five edges. Consequently its ordered Janson dependency sum is
Janson inequality gives the upper bound . For the lower bound, the avoidance of each triangle is a decreasing event. Repeated application of Harris' inequality gives
The error also tends to zero. The bounds match multiplicatively:
Summing over ordered distinct vertices yields the factorial moments
Here is an explicit justification that these moments determine the limit. For every integer , the finite alternating sums
are upper bounds for when is even and lower bounds when is odd. This follows by applying the Bonferroni inequalities to ; the full sum is precisely the indicator of . First let for a fixed truncation and use the factorial-moment limits. Then let the even and odd truncations grow. Both bounds tend to
Hence every point probability has the Poisson distribution limit, proving the Poisson threshold for vertices lying in no triangle:
This is also the factorial-moment criterion for Poisson convergence, here justified rather than left as an unproved implication.