For a family with a monotone likelihood ratio in , a prior density and cutoff , the posterior odds of against are nondecreasing in . To prove it, write the unnormalized masses as and . For , the difference is the double integral over of . Each integrand is nonnegative by the likelihood-ratio ordering. Common factors in the full-data likelihood cancel from the odds, so the same argument works when is a statistic rather than the complete observation. Interpret zero denominators by extended odds whenever the posterior is defined.
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