The probability that independent uniformly oriented open hemispheres cover a sphere is the displayed quantity. Coverage fails exactly when their normals lie in a closed hemisphere. With probability one, no three normals are coplanar and no pair is antipodal; a closed hemisphere containing the normals can then be perturbed into an open one. Condition on the unoriented axes of the normals. Their orientation signs remain independent fair bits, and the regions of a general-position great-circle arrangement realize exactly of the possible sign vectors. Each such vector corresponds to normals that fit into one open hemisphere, proving the complementary probability. The argument counts equiprobable orientation choices, not equal-area regions.
Because the events are pairwise disjoint events, their count can only be zero or one. The event that the count is zero is the complement of an event of their union. Finite additivity therefore gives
Now use for the fixed number of independently located ships. Normalize the radius to one and write their positions as unit vectors . A point on the sphere is reached by ship precisely when , so each ship reaches an open hemisphere. Coverage fails exactly when there is a unit vector with for every . Equivalently, all ship positions lie in some closed hemisphere.
With probability one no pair of ship vectors is antipodal and no three are linearly dependent: the exceptional choices lie on sets of zero surface area. For such a configuration, containment in a closed hemisphere implies containment in an open hemisphere. To see this, choose its inward normal , so . At most two vectors lie on its boundary. If there are two, their sum has positive dot product with each, since they are not antipodal; if there is one, use that vector itself. Perturb slightly in this direction. The boundary dot products become positive while all already positive dot products remain positive. Thus the strict and non-strict containment conditions have the same probability here.
Condition on the unoriented axes . Choose representatives by any fixed sign convention. By uniform sampling and independence, the actual positions are with independent fair signs . Conditional on these axes, each of the sign choices has probability .
The great circles partition the sphere into open regions. In each region the sign vector is constant. No sign vector labels two different regions: its strict inequalities define a convex cone, and normalized line segments within that cone connect any two points of its spherical section. The regions of a general-position great-circle arrangement therefore yield exactly realized sign vectors.
The chosen positions lie in an open hemisphere if and only if some has for every , that is, for every . Failure of coverage thus corresponds exactly to one of the realized sign choices. These choices are mutually exclusive events, each of conditional probability , so the first part applies:
The result is independent of the axes. Averaging gives the coverage of a sphere by random open hemispheres:
For this is zero; for it is . If no ship lands, coverage has probability zero separately. The counting uses equiprobable orientation signs, not an assumption that the spherical regions have equal area.