Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 32 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Work in a regular statistical model, with fixed support, differentiability under the integral, and nonsingular Fisher information. Let be the score function. The blocks are orthogonal statistical parameters at whenThis is global parameter orthogonality if it holds throughout the parameter domain; otherwise it is an assertion at a specified point.
For an independent size- sample, the regular maximum-likelihood estimator satisfieswhere is the information in one observation. Thus the fitted blocks are independent to first order in their limiting normal distribution. The efficient information for is generally the Schur complement ; under orthogonality it is just . Estimating the nuisance block therefore has no first-order variance cost for the interest block, compared with knowing the nuisance parameter.
This also reduces local movement of the constrained nuisance fit. If is the observed information, differentiating its nuisance score equation givesUnder regular independent sampling and orthogonality, and the centered mixed block is . Thus this derivative is locally, and an change in changes the nuisance fit by only . Neither exact finite-sample independence nor vanishing observed cross-information follows from expected-information orthogonality.
For the displayed density family, is scalar andThe mean-zero score identity gives for . ButsoThis is score factorization implies parameter orthogonality. If zero belongs to the parameter domain, the conclusion extends there by continuity of the regular expected derivatives. At zero the density itself has no dependence on , so identifiability and nonsingular information for that block must be treated separately.