Suppose outcome collection stops at the first success or after unsuccessful attempts, and let count unsuccessful attempts. Conditional on the outcome , put . For , the joint density of and an observed isFor , the unobserved outcome is integrated out, giving . These probabilities sum to one by telescoping and integration. Dependence of on models missing not at random. If all are independent of conditional on the regression predictors, the outcome density among responders remains , as required for complete-case analysis of that conditional model.
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