Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 9 3 i Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Assume , as required for this nontrivial subcritical binomial random graph. Put . A breadth-first exploration of a binomial random graph is dominated by a Galton-Watson process whose offspring counts are independent random variables with law . If its total progeny is at least , the first offspring counts sum to at least . Their moment-generating function is bounded by that of a Poisson distribution of mean . The exponential Markov inequality, optimized at , yieldsTaking for any fixed , a union bound over all starting vertices gives .
For the matching lower bound, let count tree components of order . The tree-component expectation in the Erdős-Rényi model is exactlyFor , the Stirling formula givesChoose , with . Then . Distinct overlapping vertex sets cannot both be graph components. For disjoint sets, the joint probability differs from the product only because the between-set edges were counted twice as absent. ThusIt follows that . The second moment method gives with high probability. Combining both bounds, and then taking arbitrarily small fixed , proves the sharp subcritical largest-component scaleFinally the Taylor expansion of gives . The endpoint has no edges and is excluded from this logarithmic asymptotic.