Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 41 6 vi Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A one-sample U-statistic of fixed degree has a symmetric U-statistic kernel and averages it over all distinct subsets of an iid sample:It is unbiased for . With finite second moment, define the first Hoeffding projection . Orthogonality of the higher projections givesIf , the central limit theorem therefore proves the U-statistic central limit theoremEquivalently the influence function of a U-statistic is , obtained by differentiating its population functional in each distribution argument. If , the root- limit degenerates and the second or higher projection determines a different, often nonnormal, limit.
For example, gives the unbiased sample variance with denominator . Its first projection is , so the influence function is . When the fourth moment is finite, the leading variance of the sample variance is . This example connects unbiased symmetric estimation to the functional influence calculation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 42 5 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let . Under the symmetric continuous null hypothesis, positive and negative signs have probability and zeros have probability zero. For the sign test, take and reject for small values: under the null. Choose with ; randomization at the next value attains exact size if desired. The lower tail is appropriate for .
For the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, rank increasingly and put . Continuous observations have no absolute-value ties almost surely. Conditional on the absolute values, the signs are independent fair signs because symmetry makes the sign independent of magnitude. Hence has the distribution of for independent Bernoulli random variables with parameter . Again reject in the lower tail, using this exact subset-sum distribution or a normal approximation. Independence gives the requested null moments:For a symmetric kernel of fixed order , a one-sample U-statistic is . State the U-statistic central limit theorem: if , , and , then . The nondegeneracy condition is important.
For , its order-two U-statistic satisfies the exact Wilcoxon signed-rank statistic identityTo prove it, in an unordered pair the sign of the sum is the sign of whichever observation has larger absolute value. Counting the pairs for which a positive observation is larger contributes its rank minus one; its own positive-sign indicator supplies the remaining one.
Write for the distribution function of under the null. Symmetry gives andThe probability integral transform makes uniform on , so . Therefore . The centred is and is negligible on the scale of . Combining the exact decomposition and its mean givesThe lower-tail approximate level- rejection rule compares this standardized statistic with ; a half-unit continuity correction can refine discrete-tail calculations.
Wilcoxon signed-rank statistic 2026-10-14
For a continuous sample, the statistic also equals . In each pair the sign of the sum is the sign of the observation with larger absolute value, proving the identity by counting its smaller-rank partners. Under a continuous symmetric null, the pair kernel has projection and projection variance . The U-statistic central limit theorem yields asymptotic normality of , with variance asymptotic to .